The Showtime Southern 500
The NASCAR Sprint Cup series moves to the Darlington Raceway for the 11th race of the 2010 season, the Showtime Southern 500. The only race this season at the "Track Too Tough To Tame" promises to be filled with excitement. We analyzed past performances, season trends, and talked to NASCAR contacts to shed a light on how the field should finish on Saturday night.
When: Saturday, May 8, 2010; 7:44 p.m./et.
Weather: Sunny with a high around 78; wind out of the NNW at 10 mph Chance of precipitation is zero percent.
The Track: Darlington Raceway
Darlington is a 1.366 mile oval. It has 25 and 23 degree banking in the turns and three and two degree banking on the straight-aways. Darlington rewards aggressive and fearless drivers which is why it is the "Track Too Tough To Tame".
Key to Race: THE TRACK TOO TOUGH TO TAME
Darlington is a track that Jeff Gordon has managed to tame. He has seven career victories at the track, including the 2007 edition of the race. He is one of our favorites to take the checkers on Saturday.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined during qualifying on Friday, May 7 at 5:10 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has seven wins in 29 career starts at Darlington. He has tamed the "Track Too Tough To Tame".
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has had one of the most dominant cars in four of the last five races at Darlington. He is a great pick this weekend.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has two wins and has finished outside the top 10 just twice in 11 career starts at Darlington. He should be in the top five all day.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy loved the increased speeds that came with the new Darlington surface 2008. He is a great pick to win.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has had one of the best cars in the past three races at Darlington. He should be fast again this weekend.
6 to 10
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has 17 top five finishes at Darlington, including a win during last year's race. He won't win this weekend, but his ability to be patient and drive smart races should have him in the top 10.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has been great the past four races at Darlington and should return to the top 10 this weekend.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex has cracked the top 14 in all of his career starts at Darlington. He is a great sleeper pick this weekend.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano cruised to a top 10 finish at Darlington last year. He will be one of the top cars in the field on Saturday.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has made the top 10 in four of his six career starts at Darlington.
He is a great option on Saturday.
11 to 20
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has six top five finishes in 11 career starts at Darlington. He is a very good option this weekend.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has finished in the top 12 in three of the last four races at Darlington. We think he should just miss the top 10 this weekend, but will cruise to a solid top 15 finish.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has struggled during five of the past six Darlington races. We expect he will be better this weekend, but a top 10 finish may elude him.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch hasn't cracked the top 10 at Darlington since 2004. We think that trend will continue this weekend.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has finished in the top 11 in seven of the last nine races at Darlington. We like his chances for a top 15 finish on Saturday.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Smoke has nine top 10 finishes in 17 career starts at Darlington. He has never won at the track and hasn't seen Victory Lane this season so he is due to do a little fence climbing.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has three poles and two top five finishes in seven career starts at Darlington. He is someone to watch this weekend.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski wasn't intimidated during his first trip to Darlington. He is an exciting pick.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been very hit-or-miss at Darlington in his career. He is a bit of a risky pick on Saturday.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has finished inside the top 15 in two of the past three Darlington races. He should finish right around the top 15 again this weekend.
21 to 30
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya is still searching for success at Darlington. He will finish in the middle of the pack on Saturday. There are far better fantasy options.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard had a great run Mother's Day weekend last year at Darlington. He could be great again this year.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan impressed with a top five finish at Darlington in 2008, but it was more luck than skill. He will be doing well to crack the top 20 this weekend.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers is usually a great sleeper pick, but besides strong qualifying efforts he has never been great at Darlington. Stay away from him this weekend.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has averaged a 27th place finish at Darlington during his career. He will finish just a little better than his average this visit to South Carolina.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has been decent at Darlington in his career. We think a top 25 finish should be expected.
No. 82 Scott Speed: "Speedy" should be able to match the 26th place finish he notched during his only previous career run at Darlington.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: The "Tax Slayer" has finished in the top 25 in 23 of the last 24 Darlington races. He is a decent choice as a fourth fantasy driver on all teams this weekend.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose was terrible during his first start at Darlington last year. He isn't much of an option.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. has finished on the lead lap in a Darlington race just once. He will crack the top 30, but won't do enough to help your fantasy team this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil has averaged a top 25 finish at Darlington the past four races. He could be worth taking a shot on for those of you in the deepest leagues.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Regan Smith, like Kvapil has been a top 25 finisher previously at Darlington. Take a flyer on him in deep, deep leagues.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. has been very bad at Darlington. He isn't an option.
No. 66 Dave Blaney: Blaney finished ninth in the 2008 edition of the Southern 500. He could surprise again this weekend.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon will be doing very well to crack the top 35 on Saturday.
Field Fillers
No. 09 Mike Bliss
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 36 Casey Mears
No. 38 David Gilliland
No. 37 Kevin Conway
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 32 Reed Sorenson
No. 46 J.J. Yeley
No. 64 Todd Bodine
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jeff Gordon
2. Greg Biffle
3. Jimmie Johnson
4. Kyle Busch
Sleepers:
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Brad Keselowski
Bust of the Week:
1. Brian Vickers
The NASCAR Sprint Cup series moves to the Darlington Raceway for the 11th race of the 2010 season, the Showtime Southern 500. The only race this season at the "Track Too Tough To Tame" promises to be filled with excitement. We analyzed past performances, season trends, and talked to NASCAR contacts to shed a light on how the field should finish on Saturday night.
When: Saturday, May 8, 2010; 7:44 p.m./et.
Weather: Sunny with a high around 78; wind out of the NNW at 10 mph Chance of precipitation is zero percent.
The Track: Darlington Raceway
Darlington is a 1.366 mile oval. It has 25 and 23 degree banking in the turns and three and two degree banking on the straight-aways. Darlington rewards aggressive and fearless drivers which is why it is the "Track Too Tough To Tame".
Key to Race: THE TRACK TOO TOUGH TO TAME
Darlington is a track that Jeff Gordon has managed to tame. He has seven career victories at the track, including the 2007 edition of the race. He is one of our favorites to take the checkers on Saturday.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined during qualifying on Friday, May 7 at 5:10 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has seven wins in 29 career starts at Darlington. He has tamed the "Track Too Tough To Tame".
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has had one of the most dominant cars in four of the last five races at Darlington. He is a great pick this weekend.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has two wins and has finished outside the top 10 just twice in 11 career starts at Darlington. He should be in the top five all day.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy loved the increased speeds that came with the new Darlington surface 2008. He is a great pick to win.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has had one of the best cars in the past three races at Darlington. He should be fast again this weekend.
6 to 10
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has 17 top five finishes at Darlington, including a win during last year's race. He won't win this weekend, but his ability to be patient and drive smart races should have him in the top 10.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth has been great the past four races at Darlington and should return to the top 10 this weekend.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex has cracked the top 14 in all of his career starts at Darlington. He is a great sleeper pick this weekend.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano cruised to a top 10 finish at Darlington last year. He will be one of the top cars in the field on Saturday.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has made the top 10 in four of his six career starts at Darlington.
He is a great option on Saturday.
11 to 20
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has six top five finishes in 11 career starts at Darlington. He is a very good option this weekend.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has finished in the top 12 in three of the last four races at Darlington. We think he should just miss the top 10 this weekend, but will cruise to a solid top 15 finish.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has struggled during five of the past six Darlington races. We expect he will be better this weekend, but a top 10 finish may elude him.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch hasn't cracked the top 10 at Darlington since 2004. We think that trend will continue this weekend.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has finished in the top 11 in seven of the last nine races at Darlington. We like his chances for a top 15 finish on Saturday.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Smoke has nine top 10 finishes in 17 career starts at Darlington. He has never won at the track and hasn't seen Victory Lane this season so he is due to do a little fence climbing.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has three poles and two top five finishes in seven career starts at Darlington. He is someone to watch this weekend.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski wasn't intimidated during his first trip to Darlington. He is an exciting pick.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been very hit-or-miss at Darlington in his career. He is a bit of a risky pick on Saturday.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has finished inside the top 15 in two of the past three Darlington races. He should finish right around the top 15 again this weekend.
21 to 30
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya is still searching for success at Darlington. He will finish in the middle of the pack on Saturday. There are far better fantasy options.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard had a great run Mother's Day weekend last year at Darlington. He could be great again this year.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan impressed with a top five finish at Darlington in 2008, but it was more luck than skill. He will be doing well to crack the top 20 this weekend.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers is usually a great sleeper pick, but besides strong qualifying efforts he has never been great at Darlington. Stay away from him this weekend.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has averaged a 27th place finish at Darlington during his career. He will finish just a little better than his average this visit to South Carolina.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has been decent at Darlington in his career. We think a top 25 finish should be expected.
No. 82 Scott Speed: "Speedy" should be able to match the 26th place finish he notched during his only previous career run at Darlington.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: The "Tax Slayer" has finished in the top 25 in 23 of the last 24 Darlington races. He is a decent choice as a fourth fantasy driver on all teams this weekend.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose was terrible during his first start at Darlington last year. He isn't much of an option.
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. has finished on the lead lap in a Darlington race just once. He will crack the top 30, but won't do enough to help your fantasy team this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil has averaged a top 25 finish at Darlington the past four races. He could be worth taking a shot on for those of you in the deepest leagues.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Regan Smith, like Kvapil has been a top 25 finisher previously at Darlington. Take a flyer on him in deep, deep leagues.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. has been very bad at Darlington. He isn't an option.
No. 66 Dave Blaney: Blaney finished ninth in the 2008 edition of the Southern 500. He could surprise again this weekend.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon will be doing very well to crack the top 35 on Saturday.
Field Fillers
No. 09 Mike Bliss
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 36 Casey Mears
No. 38 David Gilliland
No. 37 Kevin Conway
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 32 Reed Sorenson
No. 46 J.J. Yeley
No. 64 Todd Bodine
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jeff Gordon
2. Greg Biffle
3. Jimmie Johnson
4. Kyle Busch
Sleepers:
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Brad Keselowski
Bust of the Week:
1. Brian Vickers